Forex Trading Psychology: Consistency, Discipline and Confidence
Profitable trading is the result of the trader having their business in order in three primary areas. These are the system, risk and money management rules, and the trading psychology. Trading Psychology means the big 3: discipline, confidence and consistency.
Of these, trading psychology is of the greatest priority in order to ensure that the other two are fully utilized. A good system and rules are of limited value when they are not followed. To make the most of your system and your rules, and to do so in a manner that is not through sheer will and brute force, it takes all of the Big 3: confidence, discipline and consistency in that order.
It is almost impossible to stick to your rules and your system for any length of time without confidence in your system. A trader may be able to stick to their system for a short while simply by focusing on it, but confidence and discipline are often lost quickly once a handful of losing trades occurs.
The temptation to deviate from their system and second-guess it can be very strong when a string of losses occurs, especially for the trader that has not established a solid confidence in their system. The natural impulse to avoid the pain is great and only grows with each subsequent loss. Faith in the system drops each time another loss occurs, even if the loss came to be from the deviation from the system. In this situation, anxiety, fear and doubts tend to be very strong.
If this circumstance has occurred, then what is a trader to do to remedy it?
Expectations and reality are the source of much in trading psychology. When expectations are not met by reality, frustration sets in. When a person doesn’t know what to expect, then anxiety set in. A person can have confidence when they know what to expect and what to do. How can a person be confident when they don’t know, or worse yet, when their most immediate reference point is the recent and very painful losses?
Since trading is an activity where losing trades will occur, the best way to establish confidence is to have a way to know what to expect - from the trading system. How can you this be done? Proper system analysis and evaluation of the system metrics allow the trader to know what to expect and what not to expect. The metrics give one a realistic and measured look at the capabilities and limitations of a system, particularly how many losing trades might be encountered during an overall profitable period of time. The metrics are of particular help with trading psychology in that the discipline becomes easy now that realistic expectations are set and establish a level of confidence.
Tracking of the metrics then leads to consistency and facilitates continuous improvement. When a trader begins the practice of analyzing their system and tracking their metrics, this often is where major breakthroughs occur. This practice frequently marks the turnaround point for most traders as it leads very naturally to consistency, confidence and discipline. When it comes to trading psychology, backtesting alone only helps so much, and that is why it is critical that a trader properly analyze their system and track their metrics.
Proper analysis that yields meaningful and useful information is very worth while, yet can be a chore. To get your own user-friendly tool to perform trading system analysis, plus track your metrics to help with your confidence, discipline and consistency, go to http://insideouttrading.com/tpa/ccandd.html