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Month: July, 2008

Forex Moving Averages - 3 Ways to See the Forex Move

23 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: foreximpact

Moving averages are one of the most basic and widely used series of indicators by technical analysts of the Forex market. Moving averages are used to confirm existing trends, identify new trends that are possibly emerging, and to attempt to identify trends that are coming to an end before a market correction.

This knowledge can help a trader make smart trades in order to take advantage of the Forex market. When talking about moving averages, there are three main types of moving averages that you’ll see used: Simple, Weighted, and Exponential.

Simple Moving Average

A simple moving average is one that gives equal weight to every price point over the specified period being studied. The analyst can decide whether to use the high, low, or close prices, and then all the price points are added together and averaged out. After using the averages a line is formed.

Depending on the moving average you are using, you may have a line for the “high” averages and the “low” averages. Every new price point that gets added replaces the oldest point and the line adjusts accordingly.

This should provide you a “tunnel” for the highs and lows. Whenever the price of a currency pair approaches or goes outside of these lines, this will provide you strong clues as to what the market will do next, and what actions you should go through with to take advantage.

Weighted Moving Average

A weighted moving average does the same basic thing as a simple moving average, but as its name suggests a weighted moving average gives more emphasis to the most recent data. Basically the closer to present time the data takes place, the more the value of the data point.

This total is also added together then divided by the sum of the weighted factors. The major benefit of a weighted moving average is that it allows the user to smooth out a curve while keeping the “average” more closely related to the most current information.

Exponential Moving Average

An exponential moving average is a different way of weighing more current data. An exponential moving average multiplies a percentage of the most current price by the previous period’s average price.

Basically the oldest pieces of data are never removed, the way they are with other types of moving averages. Instead of replacing the oldest pieces of data with newer, the oldest pieces are given less and less value, creating an average that appears more like an exponential curve.

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Automated Forex Trading: Trade Profitably Automatically

22 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: lastelle

The forex trading market is the largest market in the world, which has wide ranging impacts on the global economy. Hundreds and thousands of traders are trying to make money on this lucrative market. Their job has become a lot simpler with the advent of the internet and also several software products tailored to the currency trading market. Automated forex trading systems are a result of these rapid advances in software technology. Gone are the days when only leading financial institutions were trading over the forex market. These days with all the kind of help available in the form of different kinds of software products, an increasing number of individuals are taking up forex trading.

Once you install an automated forex trading system, you can then trade round-the clock. In fact the forex market is open 24 hours a day, excepting on weekends when there is no trading. Any trader therefore can trade during anytime of the day, at his or her own convenience. The advent of the internet has made this a real possibility with geographical barriers being a thing of the past. With such an automated system you can now be sitting in one part of the world, while trading in another part of the world. These systems have made life a lot easier for forex traders.

Setting up an automated forex trading system has also become simpler by the day. It is one reason why an increasing number of traders are going in for these systems in the first place. Once set up they will also explore the forex market for you. This way you can constantly monitor the market and keep yourself up-to-date with all relevant information on forex trading. Any good automated currency trading system will allow you to set certain preferences. This way you will be alerted whenever the system were to find something that matches your preferences.

Automated forex trading systems can mean the difference between success and failure in this highly dynamic market. Even traditional forex traders are gradually switching over to these systems nowadays. These systems have come as a boon to those who are starting out on a career as traders on the lucrative forex market. Such systems can help them get a feel of the market and help them out with trading. These systems can also help beginners to get to know about the various intricacies of trading in the forex market. With so many advantages it is not surprising that automated forex trading systems are much sought after these days.

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Why Forex Trading without a Plan Fails

21 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: Norri

Forex trading can and should be a profitable venture. However, the sad fact remains that, statistically, over ninety percent of the people who get into forex trading will lose money. So how do you discover a method for trading that is consistently profitable and allows you to build up your financial future while minimizing your risks?

One of the most consistent methods for profiting with forex market trading is using what are known as forex signals. While this may not be the most exciting method of trading available, it is ideally suited to those who would like to get into forex trading without losing the proverbial shirt off their backs. With forex trading signals, there are no complicated systems or instructions that you have to practice, play with, adjust and ultimately pay for.

Forex signals allow you to utilize someone else’s wisdom while you gain your own knowledge. You will receive a single email on a daily basis and you simply sign into your online forex account and place your orders. After that, you enjoy the rewards of their work while you go about your life as you normally would. The only difference is that now you will be secure in the knowledge that you are not paying for your education, but rather, you are actually earning money as you learn more about the forex trading market.

Another key factor in being successful with the forex trading markets is knowing when to start and knowing when to stop. Again, forex signals take all of the guess work out of the equation altogether. Many people believe that they can win each and every day. While this may be possible for a very few people, it is the exception rather than the rule.

Placing a viable stopping point on your investments will allow you to consistently walk away a winner without reinvesting all of your new-found fortunes or giving away your life savings. Knowing when to stop is every bit as important as knowing where to invest if you want to be a successful forex trader. Being able to walk away with your profits in your pocket will only enhance your forex trading experience.

The only difficulty that should remain when you are interested in learning more about the forex trading markets should be finding a safe, reliable and consistently profitable forex signals service. Look for opportunities to join in with other members and discuss the current markets and methods that did and did not work for them.

Look for testimonials from the people that are using the system and listen to what they have or have not been able to accomplish with their forex signal service. Mostly, you should look for one that allows you to join without forcing you to put your life’s savings in their hands and under their control. The forex markets are a great way to enhance your financial portfolio during these difficult economic times. If you want to work on securing your financial future, forex trading signals are without any doubt, the best method for getting started today.

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What Else Still Buys a Suit after 2,000 Years

19 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: richpowerman

What has not changed much in terms of purchasing power since the times of the Roman Empire - Why gold of course. Not many people realise that a Roman Legionnaire getting all togged up at his local bazaar would have had to part with about the same weight of gold as you would in today’s high-tech society clothes store.

So, having stood the test of time down through the millennia for value, gold has another important function to play today. With all the woes that mankind has brought about due a mixture of fear and greed, when all else fails, everyone turns back to gold for security.

Since all of the major currencies in the world are now off the gold standard, what value is a stack of dollars, dinars, Euros or pound sterling going to keep, as inflation continually erodes their real value?

Is it any wonder that the price of an ounce of gold (in most people’s memories once worth $35 an ounce), since events like 9-11, and now the ever-soaring price of crude oil, multiple conflicts around the Globe, not to mention the threats of terrorist attacks, has soared, even this year to over $900 an ounce, peaking at the amazing height of $1,002 on the 3rd March this year.

What is more frightening, or perhaps very opportunistically, is that the price of gold this year alone has soared from $840.14 at the beginning of January, and by the middle of the year it is still trading at around $883 an ounce.

But look - in those months, in line with bad news, oil price hikes, falling dollar values, and such like, has seen this price see-sawed in value from the dizzy heights of $1004,62 down to $862.45

What an opportunity for speculators… Massive swings in the value of gold from a peak of $1006 one day, down to $847.84 a few days later; back up to $935 a few days later.

OK, so somebody may have made $165.86 if they bought an ounce of gold as a New Years Day gift, and sold it on the 3rd March (assuming that their Government let them buy gold bullion!)

But now let’s look at the power of leverage in trading in gold…

Unlike currency trading, gold seem to be far more volatile, but losses can be as spectacularly large as the massive gains to be had, so make sure you know what you are doing before you venture into this exciting activity!

As gold is usually quoted in terms of US dollars, it has a price like $876.38 per ounce. Each point movement up or down of the two decimal places is known as a point or PIP. As most traders have a standard trading amount of $100,000 each PIP has a value of $10 (0.01% * 100000).

So if you put on a trade to buy gold at say $849.01 and when you actually execute the trade, the value is now $851.28 that will represent an increase of 227 points or Pips.

If you invested $100,000 on that trade, then you would have made around $2,270 profit or 2.7% (less any commissionsor spreads).

Now, let’s say the trading platform you are using, allow you to use a margin of 100:1 on your investment. That means that to place a trade of $100,000, you only have to put at risk $100 of your own money. So now, your profit is still $2,270 on that previous trade, but at a massive profit of 227%

Just to be really reckless then, you place a trade of $1,000,000 at 100:1 on gold at $836.92, and execute that trade when gold reaches a level of $987.88. That’s 15,096 Pips at $100 per Pip!

Or $150,960 profit from a risk capital of just $1,000.

Now these sorts of swings do not occur every day, but quite hefty swings do take place with quite regular and pleasing regularity. Especially when oil shoots up to over $150 a barrel!

Another thing! It is also just as easy to make a great deal of cash when the price of gold falls as when it rises in price. How? Simple. You buy on the way up, and sell on the way down.

But - before you go out and risk the shirt off your back, please make sure you take care to understand what you are doing - and seek help and advice from the various FOREX trading clubs either on-line, or better still, go visit a real live association.

You’ll never look back!

Geoff Morris, already an expert internet marketer, has
now opened a private Forex Trading Group
in London
. For a fre.e report on an
introduction to Forex Trading
, including details of his
Forex training in London please click
here. http://forexmastergroup.com

Seek the Best Advice Before Starting Forex Trading

18 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: taipan

For a market as volatile and dynamic as the forex market you need to be well prepared with forex market knowledge before you start trading. If you are serious about making a profit from your forex trading the best step would be to get the best advise and information for forex trading before you start trading real money.

Here is a short list of some of the best practices in forex trading:

Develop your investment positions by starting trading activities with a small margin. As you become a better trader you can begin to scale up the size of your positions.

Most people agree that margin trading is one of the biggest advantages in forex trading, since it will allow an investor to trade amounts larger than the total deposits for investment. However, you must keep in mind that margin trading increases the size of losses on losing trades just as it increases the size of profits on winning trades.

It is always best to increase leverage relative to experience and success. To use too much margin leverage just starting out might seriously deplete your capital with just one or two losing trades.

Strategy is also an important factor to success. The best way to develop a strategy would be to write down exactly how you intend to trade. This would include the currencies you will be trading, the amount of leverage you will be using, and how you are going to manage your risks.

“Off peak hour trading” may sound tempting but the best advice is - don’t. This is because professional forex traders, hedge funds and option traders have a huge advantage during off-peak hours, since they can simply hedge their positions and move liquid assets and currencies easily if there is a relatively small trade volume, which means they have less risks compared to small or new forex traders.

There will always be trading systems that will attempt to analyze past forex events and trends, but none of these can actually predict the future with exact accuracy. The best thing to do in starting out trading is to carefully examine the forex charts and determine the major trend for the currencies that you will be trading. Then you establish your positions to follow the trend, ideally putting them on at better prices during reactions within the trend.

You should be aware of news releases. Many, if not most, of the really big forex market moves occur around economic data release time, like the monthly US NFP data release on the first Friday of each month. Until you get a good feel as to how the forex market reacts to these releases you may want to be out of the market at that time as the market can move quite violently if the data is a surprise as it often is in an age of dishonest governments.

Getting the best advise and information for forex trading is not just practical, it can mean your success or failure in forex trading.

Learn more about the coming energy crisis and US Dollar collapse and its consequences for the way we will live and work at Forex Trading Information

Who Else Wants to be a Rich Newbie Forex Trader Now

18 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: richpowerman

Does the thought of being involved in a market of ONE POINT SEVEN TRILLION US DOLLARS attract you? That’s over 1000 times bigger than all the money traded on Wall Street every day.

Can you feel just a small glimmer of excitement coming? That sure beats the pants off any other internet marketing activities you may have been trying to get involved in!

If you’re dreaming of a perfect ticket to escape the boredom and routine of the ‘Day Job’ (You remember what a job is - Just Over Broke) then this could well be the break you have been craving for. Trading on your computer on the FOREX ( Foreign Exchange) - doing what you already do only in a bigger way when you go on holiday and you change your money for the new country. But this is BIG TIME.

Daimler Chrysler actually made more money trading on the FOREX markets than they did making Mercedes cars! And you can now do this from the comfort of your own laptop with no expensive software to buy.

Just a few hours work every day - or every other day - and not just from your home, you could be carving out a regular second ( or even main) income stream for you and your family, and you can do this anywhere in the world (as long as you have internet access).

But - Whatever you do, don’t just jump in with both feet and end up broke before you properly start. There is work to be done to start with but if your ambition is to be earning between $500 and $1,000 a day as a starter, then you have to approach this project with a modicum of care.

Here’s a Safety First List for Newbie Traders…

- Day trading, although capable of providing you with very quick ‘Wins’, it can also produce for you far too many ‘Losers’. Unless you know what you are doing (and about 80% of Day Traders DON’T), then you should look for trades that are spread over one or more days.

- Establish the amount you are willing to lose, and accept it gracefully when you do lose!

- Most winning traders place each trade as an ‘Order’. That is, they don’t just randomly click a trade straight into their broker desks, they think about all the parameters of each trade first. Entry price, Stop Loss, Exit price, so they know what their losses could be, and they know what they want to get out of each trade. Set these trade parameters up off-line, and then, when you are happy that they are correct - submit them to your Broker as an Order.

- Don’t EVER get greedy - you’ll lose Big Time!

- Never place a trade in a volatile market (rapid rises and sudden falls). You must always identify the market trend.

- Remember, you can make money in a rising and a falling market, and prices tend to fall faster than they rise, so choose your trades carefully with that in mind.

- Never place a trade that will put more than 1% of your capital at risk. So, if you have a trading account of say $10,000 only place $100 maximum at risk on every trade. You want to do a number of things:

1. You want to be able to sleep at night

2. You want to maintain a good fighting account. You can do nothing if you’ve lost all your money.

3. You should let your winnings ‘Ride’ so you can increase what the value of 1% that your fund now is. It will then grow quicker.

4. You must have a defined target in your head for the month, and interpret that into a daily target. If you don’t know that, how do you know what to aim at?

5. Only trade for say 30 minutes to an hour a day.

6. When you have reached your weekly target, say $2,500 - STOP TRADING until next week!

That is only a minute part of what it takes to trade in Forex, and there is a lot more to learn, but if you manage your trades and manage your money in this way, you can be sure to look forward to a profitable income for many years to come from FOREX

Geoff Morris is an Internet Marketing
Entrepreneur. His latest venture has been to set up a
private Forex Trading Group in London.
For a fre.e report on an introduction to
Forex Trading
, including details of his Forex activities in London please
click here.
http://forexmastergroup.com

Trading Forex Breakouts - 3 Simple Strategies You Can Use

18 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: jamesw

Many traders spend a lot of time looking for potential breakout situations when trading the forex markets. This is because when these breakouts occur, they very often yield a lot of points. So bearing that in mind, in this article I will discuss three simple trading strategies designed to catch these breakouts.

The first method makes use of Bollinger Bands. This technical indicator is very useful in displaying areas of support and resistance, which is marked by the two outer lines of the Bollinger Band range. Therefore when one of these outer limits is breached, you very often get a breakout in the same direction.

So to trade this breakout you ideally want to wait for a period where the outer lines of the Bollinger Bands indicator have narrowed because this indicates a period of tight consolidation. This means that a breakout will usually have momentum when it does break out of this tight range. Then when the price does break through one of the outer lines you can either jump in straight away or wait for a pullback to a short-term Exponential Moving Average, for example, for a better entry point.

The second method you can use involves using multiple Exponential Moving Averages, and in particular the 5, 20 and 50 period EMA’s. You may also like to add the 100 or 200 period EMA to your chart as well.

Then you simply wait until all of these indicators have flattened out and are trading very close to each other, along with the price. Then you wait for the shorter term EMA, ie the EMA (5) to break out strongly from this narrow range, before taking a position in the same direction as the breakout, and close to the EMA (5) for maximum value.

Finally you can use a price-based system to trade breakouts. There are various ways you can do this. The simplest systems involve waiting until the price has started trading in a very narrow range, and then taking a position when the price breaks out of this range.

Another common system involves noting the high and low point from the previous day and then waiting for the price to break out of this range the following day. Indeed this can be a very effective way of trading the major currency pairs.

So overall there are a few ways in which you can trade forex breakouts. Of course like all trading methods none of these methods work 100% of the time, and you will need to adopt a good stop loss strategy, but if you can catch a breakout you can very often grab lots of points profit because the price often moves strongly out of a tight range, as more and more traders jump on board.

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Forex Trading Important Guidelines

18 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: taipan

Forex trading is rapidly becoming one of the hottest investment alternatives in the world. With the rise of the Internet, many traders are turning to forex trading sites to carry out their speculative investment transactions. And who can blame them? It is fast, exciting, and accessible to anyone with a high speed Internet connection.

Forex trading in the simplest term is the exchange of one foreign currency to another through its current conversion or exchange rates. Profit comes into the equation in the sense that if you buy at a lower price and then sell it at a higher rate, you earn a profit.

But although it sounds simple, forex trading is actually not. The market is usually extremely volatile and the fluctuations of the currencies can at times seem to be crazy. This is why people who do not know much about the business are discouraged from get involved. The same goes with people who do not have the money to spare and are gambling with money from their savings.

However, if you have decided to trade forex, the one thing you should do is to learn the business and make sure that you have a good working knowledge about it. Here are some essentials in forex trading that can help you in your preparation.

1. Understanding of the system:

Before you can get into forex trading, you’ve got to have a knowledge about how and why currencies fluctuate. You should be able to at least understand how it appreciates and depreciates and what are the factors that contribute to its behavior. You should also in the long term be able to analyze and then predict the fluctuations of a currency. It would be a good thing to concentrate on one pair of currencies first before taking on the others. Start with a major currency, like the Euro Dollar, that is highly liquid and that trades in big daily volumes.

2. Economic reports:

Forex trading is affected by different factors. One of the major factors that determines whether a currency will depreciate or appreciate is economic conditions. That is why if you are just starting in the industry, you need to read up on all kinds of news and economic reports. Each month or each year, depending on the report, the government or its agencies will come out with reports on the different aspects of the economy. Reports that you should particularly focus on are reports on the unemployment rate, the interest rates and the trade deficit. How the economy is doing in general is also another good indication of a stronger currency.

The main point to keep in mind is that currencies usually trend in one direction for long periods of time. The trend can be easily determined by looking at forex charts. By trading with the major trend your chances of profitable forex trading are greatly improved. The old traders saying that “the trend is your friend” is especially true in trading forex.

Learn more about forex trading and its consequences for the way we will live and work at Forex Rates Matter

Are Your Images Of Your Trading Day Motivating or Frustrating?

18 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: infomktjv

The images of today’s society are thrown at us to encourage us to want bigger and better, more, and faster. We are literally bombarded with high priced images and images that draw on our human desire to succeed in our lives. Status symbols are all over the place and often we know from the beginning which ones will excite us. Whether we want large yachts, expensive cars, million dollar homes, or a life of financial freedom, we all want something and we focus on the images that spark desire in our lives.

The day trading lifestyle often conjures up images of successful people playing hard with their expensive toys. Day trading attracts the people who want some of the biggest and most expensive toys because it is a known profession built off of success and money. However, since there isn’t a quick short cut into the mainstream of monetary award, many people who came into day trading with hopes of a financially rewarding experience are now finding those same image that once motivated them a source of discontentment, overwrought with feelings of failure and impatience, and frustration. A successful image no longer feels good.

Those who hold onto their frustration or even the images that once spurred them into trading often do not do as well as those who realize that trading is nothing more than a process that deals with skill, knowledge, and a basic understanding that their chosen path is not an easy one. Setbacks do not mean failure when you are more focused on the education and experience than the big reward at the end of a really good year. You can get there, but you will get there faster if you hold the process above these images of fast cars, hot women and men, and large scale life. You didn’t walk onto a movie set but you are dealing in real life. And real life isn’t so simple. The market isn’t simple. It moves around on you like a squirming fish out of water.

How do you use the images in your head while you are trading? Are you thinking about the financial gain and the next big toy or are you feeling the thrill of the trades that brought the house down, the good calls you’ve made, or the adrenaline rush as the ticker tape climbs right before the closing bell? The images that you flip through your mind during the trading day will either serve you well or they will work against you in the long run. Images of physical possessions generally do not motivate a trader on a bad trading day in the same positive way that images of the most exciting trade of the week do. It is all about focus.

When you focus on the reward, you become terribly frustrated when the reward seems to be slipping farther and farther away. This has the potential to rock your confidence and bring negative emotions into your trading day. This of course, can lead to some pretty costly mistakes if you allow it to. When you keep your focus on the process you can often take a loss without harm and walk away to the next trade with a little more knowledge under your belt and a little time to refocus your energy on the next event. Focus can either create energy of take it away, depending entirely on what you choose to focus on during your day.

As you go through your trading day, you are bound to find different motivating images that flash across your mind. When you find the ones that really seem to get your juices flowing in a positive direction (regardless of whether you are coming off of a winning trade or a losing trade) then you will know where to redirect your mind when it starts to lose its focus.

The use of motivating images has been used for decades in order to inspire athletes, artists, trading experts, and all kinds of people who deal in a rather aggressive and unforgiving environment. When you learn to harness your images and help them to help you, your trading day will be inspired, not frustrating, no matter what happens.

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How to Profit From Forex Using Technical Analysis

17 July, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: snoopstation

Technical analysis is price movement study. You can track the history of price movement by using price charts and try to work out which way the prices are likely to go in the future.

Online Forex brokers will give you a variety of different tools which you can use in technical analysis. Here are some of the most common ones:

Bollinger Brands

These are used to measure the volatility of the market. They comprise 3 lines:

1. A moving average in the center.

2. A lower band which shows the moving average minus 2 standard deviations.

3. An upper band which shows the moving average plus 2 standard deviations.

When the volatility of the market is low, the bands will come further together. When the volatility of the market is high, the bands will spread further apart.

The Bollinger Bounce

The middle band usually stays between the outer bands. The outer bands can be compared to border control. When the middle band gets too close, it is bounced back towards the middle. This is why it is called the Bollinger Bounce. It is helpful to be aware of this because if you see the middle band getting close to an outer band, it will probably bounce away.

This strategy works the best when there are no clear trends and prices seem to be fluctuating.

A good strategy to use to spot an early trend is called the Bollinger Squeeze. This is when the bands squeeze closely together and can often mean that a breakout is imminent. If the middle band breaks through either the lower band or the upper one, this means that the trend is likely to continue to go in that direction.

Parabolic SAR (Stop and Reversal)

This indicator is used to identify trend reversals. It is an easy indicator to read. Dots appear on the chart in positions either below or above the candles (the formula used to work out where the dogs must go is rather complicated).

Dots below the candles are an indication to buy and dots above the candles are an indication to sell.

Parabolic SAR does not work well when price movement is small but it does work well when there are clear trends, either in an upward or downward direction.

Stochastics

Stochastics has a scale from 0 to 100. It is an indicator used to measure oversold and overbought conditions in the market. When the lines are over 80, that means the market is overbought. If this happens, a downward trend might form. When the lines are below 20, this means the market is oversold and an upward trend might form.

Stochastics can be useful in working out when to issue sell or buy orders and when to lock in profits. You should never use just one indicator. It is better to combine several of them and adjust these to your own trading strategy.

Ian Armstrong is an avid Forex enthusiast.

Ian recommends Avi Frister’s “Forex Trading Machine”, which uses only price and time as trading indicators. Full details at Frister’s FX Trading Machine