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Month: March, 2008

Trading Gaps in the Forex: Not Trendy, But Very Profitable!

26 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: foreximpact

Common sense isn’t common, more young kids know who’s on the “Surreal Life” than know where Mexico is located, and if it’s not new, it’s not “trendy” or “hip.” While this general foolishness seems to have nothing to do with Forex trading, why is it that long effective trading strategies are ignored because they’re “simple” or “old?”

Why spend hours a day on an advanced, new fangled, supposedly cutting edge (read: complicated and confusing) trading system when the old “boring” version is profitable?

Isn’t profit the point? Isn’t it better to be old, boring, and profitable than new, flashy, and questionable? Isn’t profit the bottom line here?

Gap trading is nothing new. It’s been used in the stock market and in commodities trading for decades, and takes advantage of the difference, or “gap” between the closing price of the day before with the opening price of the next day, but this strategy is ignored in the Forex. Why is that?

Well, gaps rely on a market close, and when the Forex market never closes, it’s really hard to get a gap or take advantage of it. In fact, during an entire trading week, there is only one time when using gap trading strategies in the Forex market is even possible! Sunday night at the open is the only time that gap trading Forex is possible.

Boring? For most of us, yeah. Pointless? Oh heck no. While different trading systems are looking for that .5% or that 1% above the 50% mark, some signs and indicators suggest that the Forex gap method is correct over 85% of the time.

No, that’s not a typo, and that’s not hype. Once a week may be boring, but those numbers make it worth the wait and should have you drooling at the possibilities.

So how do you trade the gaps on the Forex market?

First, understand that there are 3, and ONLY 3, things that the price can do between Friday’s close and Sunday’s open. They can:

1. Open above Friday’s close, which is called “gapping up”
2. Open below Friday’s close, which is called “gapping down”
3. Open at the exact same price, meaning there was no gap

There can be large gaps, often referred to as “full gaps” in price, or small gaps, known as “partial gaps.” As far as strategy, there’s no difference between the two. Good gap trading strategy works for all types of gaps. The one thing to watch out for is gap size. I don’t recommend trading a gap unless there is a 15 pip difference, and this strategy is best used with the major currency pairs.

Knowing this, the rule to trading gaps may seem the opposite of what you would expect, but if you want to be right 85% of the time, here’s the rule you want to follow: Whatever direction the gap is going, you want to trade the opposite direction.

So if a pair gaps up, sell short, if it gaps down, buy more. This strategy works a stunning amount of the time, and can be the edge in the Forex market that you’ve been looking for.

And now I would like to offer you free access to a Forex trading system that is 89.1% accurate, so you can literally start trading the Forex today. You can access it now by going to: http://www.foreximpact.com/reports/89percent/

From Jason Fielder: Founder, ForexImpact.com

Pivot Points Anticipate Forex Market Breakouts

26 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: foreximpact

Wouldn’t it be great to be psychic? Wouldn’t it be great if when you sat down to make your Forex trade you could somehow know ahead of time when and where the market was going to breakout, and ride that baby to maximum profits?

It’s one thing to look back on a month of charts and point out where all the pivot points occurred, and see where the best pivot reversal points were, but it’s an entirely different thing to be able to see and anticipate the pivot reversals as they are happening, and to make profit from them.

A pivot point, when it is part of a pivot reversal, is basically the turning point where a currency pair hits the highest point of a high trend, or the lowest point of a low trend, before retracing back the direction it came. Basically, the “new high” or “new low” will help show you how far the market is willing to go in either direction before it reverses course back into itself. This is critical!

The reason these pivot highs and pivot lows are so important is that the area between the pivot high and low bars is where you will notice most of the price action, but there are certain breakout days when the market will shoot past the current range, and these days are the pivot reversal breakout days. These are denoted by large movements in the market that are fueled by strong momentum. Remember: large movements + strong momentum = HUGE PROFITS!

Pivot points can lead to pivot reversal breakouts, and these opportunities are too good to ignore. Now you have knowledge, but knowledge is power (or in this case, profits) only when you know how to use it right! When a pivot reversal happens, you want to see whether the market breaks a new higher high or a lower low. Once you have this information, here’s the basic rule for how to act on it:

1. If the market goes higher than a pivot high, you want to BUY!
2. If the market drops lower than a pivot low, you want to SELL SHORT!

It usually takes a day for the breakout to occur. Sometimes the breakout won’t materialize. That’s fine. If that’s the case, close out your positions and wait for the next pivot reversal. Have patience, and you will bag that big profit day.

Make sure that these trades are performed with a one day time table in mind. Once the breakout occurs, close your position at the end of the trading day to protect your gains. Follow this advice, and you will be a very happy and wealthy Forex trader.

And now I would like to offer you free access to a Forex trading system that is 89.1% accurate, so you can literally start trading the Forex today. You can access it now by going to: http://www.foreximpact.com/reports/89percent/

From Jason Fielder: Founder, ForexImpact.com

Forex Channel Breakouts - Riding a Tsunami of Profits

26 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: foreximpact

Forex channel breakouts occur anytime that a price, either going high or low, breaks one of the set lines of a channel that is developed through technical analysis.

A channel occurs when two lines are made to show the range of a current market. This can be done whether the market is in trend or in counter-trend. One line represents the high of a current channel, while the bottom line represents the low. The channel is found through technical analysis.

Any time the price of a currency pair rises above the top line, that is an upwards channel break. When the price of a currency pair drops below the bottom line of a channel, that is a downward channel break, also sometimes referred to as a “breakdown” as opposed to a “breakout.” The channel breakout in a Forex market can happen either up or down, just as long as it escapes the channel created by your technical analysis.

Not every break in the line becomes a full blown breakout. There are often times when a price may temporarily just break one of the lines, then retreat back into the channel. These are called “false breaks” or “false breakouts.”

These can be frustrating because a lot of money can be made in the Forex market off of being in early on a major breakout, so false breakouts tend to get the hopes up before dashing them again, but this is all part of trading Forex. Being on the right side of a true channel breakout is worth all the false alarms you might find along the way.

Besides, if you use your stops correctly, a fake channel breakout shouldn’t cost you much, and it may even lead to a very slight profit. It’s certainly worth the risk because when you hit the right side of a Forex channel breakout, the profits in some extreme cases can even be hundreds of pips.

A true Forex channel breakout that takes off however, can provide fantastic profits, and is a major reason why technical analysis is used in the market: to try and determine when these channel breakouts are going to occur and to get in the market early can bring good profits.

Channel breakouts can often lead to the forming of another channel, so constant analysis should take place even as the market is in the middle of a breakout in either direction. If you are riding the price up, a trailing stop can be a good idea since reversals can happen rapidly, and sometimes seemingly without warning.

And now I would like to offer you free access to a Forex trading system that is 89.1% accurate, so you can literally start trading the Forex today. You can access it now by going to: http://www.foreximpact.com/reports/89percent/

From Jason Fielder - Founder, ForexImpact.com

Forex Trading - It is Possible to Make Money With Only 50% Wins

26 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: kramnor

To be realistic, most people will have a win loss ratio no better than 50%. The reason so many people lose money in Forex trading is that with a 50% win rate, they lose much more money than when they win.

It is possible to make money in Forex trading by picking winning trades with no better statistical advantage than flipping a coin.

How can someone make money when you only get half the trades right? That means 5 out of every 10 trades are losers. Well, if your money management is set up with the right profit loss ratio, it is possible.

Let’s use 30 pips as a profit target on every trade and 20 pips as a stop loss on every trade. We will use 10 trades to make it easier using percentages. Winning 5 trades at 30 pips per trade, nets 150 pips profit. Losing 5 trades at 20 pips per trade is 100 pips loss. The net profit for ten trades is 50 pips gain. With one contract, this is $500.00 or one mini-contract, this is $50.00 per ten trades.

Let’s say you get better at your trading and win 60% trades. Winning 6 trades at 30 pips per trade, nets 180 pips profit. Losing 4 trades at 20 pips per trade is 80 pips loss. The net profit for ten trades is 100 pips. With one contract, this is $1,000.00 or one mini-contract, this is $100.00 profit per ten trades.

A more rare win percentage is 70%. But working out the math, 7 winning trades at 30 pips, nets 210 pips profit. Losing 3 trades at 20 pips per trade is 60 pips loss. The net profit for ten trades is 150 pips. With one contract, this is $1,500.00 or one mini-contract, this is $150.00 profit per ten trades.

This shows that even with only 50 % wins, money can be made. Using a 3:2 profit loss ratio is profitable for making money in Forex trading. This could mean using a 60 point target with a 40 point stop loss as well.

Using a smaller ratio like a 30 point target and 30 point stop loss, a 1:1 ratio will only give a profit with a win rate greater than 50%. You may find that your trading strategy can only get a 20 point target so you may need to do the 1:1 ratio. Using the 3:2 ratio, with a 20 point target, you will have less than 20 as a stop loss and this is too small of a stop loss for Forex trading. There are so many market forces that can swing more than 20 pips and hit your stop loss. Practically speaking, you need to work with the currency pairs with the smallest spreads when using a 20 point stop.

Now, knowing the right target loss ratio, the right trading strategy needs to be incorporated to make this work. Finding the right strategy is vital to this ratio.

For information on Stock Trading Strategies we reviewed, visit our website at OpinionandReview.com

How to Earn Automatic Income with Forex Trading

26 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: OkSmitty

When it comes to getting detailed automatic income info, people usually tend to compare the pros and cons of the Forex trading with those of stock market trading. You will be glad to know that the investing in currency trading has an array of advantages over the stock market. Perhaps, the biggest advantage is that unlike stock trading, Forex investment allows you to trade twenty hours a day. What is more, in comparison to the stock market, Forex market does not have any physical location where the traders could gather and trade from. It is, in fact, a virtual global trading network that runs continuously - non-stop. This way, it is up to you to set your own schedule for trading. You get plenty of time to meet the other commitments of life while still enjoying the benefits of such investments.

The automatic income info seekers will also be glad to know that this form of trading also gives them the liberty to use leverage. It means that you get the ability to gain control of the enormous amount of money even if you are investing a small amount. For example, if your broker offers you 200:1 leverage, it means that you need to invest only a meager hundred dollars while you get the ability to control twenty thousand dollars. What is more, you also get a chance to use this leverage in a way to increase your profits many-fold. However, you must also be aware of the flip side of the automatic income info, as per which, in case your predictions and calculations go wrong, you may end up suffering huge losses as well. Therefore, you must have the prudence to use the leverage in a proper way, which is something that can only be earned through extensive experience. It is a bitter fact that though most of the successful traders failed initially, they learned from their mistakes.

That is the reason why it is always recommended for you to start with the trading of a demo account first. You must follow a step-by-step approach, which in other terms, may mean a mechanical and systematical approach. Those who are aware of the basic automatic income info know that there are plenty of online Forex brokers who provide the facility of opening a demo account. The demo account is the one where you invest “virtual money”. As a result, you get “virtual” profits or “virtual” losses. Nothing is real in this demo trading except the experience that you gain. This can be an excellent way to gain the crucial experience required to succeed in such a venture.

Overall, your awareness of the basic and advanced automatic income info regarding Forex trading is something that will eventually determine your success.

For FREE tips and information on How To Earn Automatic Income through Forex Trading visit our website at “Forex Trading Machine”

Reasons To Use Regulated Forex Brokers

25 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: WestWing888

Are you considering a career as a regulated Forex broker? Forex brokers work in the ever changing field of foreign currency, making millions for their customers. They also earn quite a bit of money in commissions for themselves, betting on which countries exchange rates are going to rise or fall in the future.

Who Regulates Forex Brokers?

Since Forex brokers work throughout the world in numerous different countries and cities, no single agency regulates all Forex brokers. Instead, brokers are regulated through the local brokerage regulation agency in their respective home countries. Hence, U.S. Forex brokers are regulated by the Securities Exchange Commission (SEC), the Federal Reserve System, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation, or the Office of the Comptroller of that currency.

Forex brokers located in Japan are regulated through the Financial Services Agency, while Forex brokers in Iraq are regulated by the Iraq Securities Commission.

What Rules Cover Forex Traders?

Trading on foreign exchanges is very different than trading on the NYSE or the Nasdaq. The rules for Forex trading are made by the National Futures Association. The majority of trades involve the major currencies: The American, Australian, and Canadian dollars; The Euro, British Pound, the Japanese Yen, and so on.

National Futures Association

Regulations such as these are set forth in the National Futures Association Retail Off Exchange Foreign Currency Rules. Included in these rules is information about assessments as well as dues, requirements for managing a Forex account, obligations of assignees, and an assortment of additional situations that arise throughout the course of trading.

The online website of the National Futures Association carries a wealth of information for the starting Forex broker as well as Forex Investor. There you will learn rules that govern Forex traders; Forex investor alerts; Forex requirements for reporting, notices to Forex members, notice of judgments interpreting the rules, as well as other resources for individuals who wish to learn more about Forex.

The website also furnishes links to resources for electronic filings needed to establish and maintain a Forex brokerage: promotional materials, exemptions, Forex reporting, complaints, and the annual questionnaire.

Be Wary of Unregulated Brokers

An increasingly pervasive problem that investors need to aware of is Forex fraud. The Commodity Futures Trading Commission approximates that customers have lost over $395 million dollars in fraudulent Forex schemes.

For Additional Information

If you are looking to learn more about Forex that can be found on the National Futures Association website, you can find out more Forex trading information by a self study program or by taking a course.

Listen to Corbin Newlyn as he shares his insights as an expert author and an avid writer in the field of finance and investment. If you would like to learn more go to Learn Forex Trading advice and at Forex Trading Software tips.

Forex Trading - The Perils Of Trying To Find Highs And Lows

24 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: jamesw

One of the most popular methods of trading when it comes to forex is to identify and trade overbought and oversold positions. However is this really the best way to trade the forex markets?

If you’ve been a trader for any period of time you will know that it is extremely difficult to catch the top or bottom of a market, and to do this on a consistent basis is even more difficult.

Even technical analysis experts struggle to pick out tops and bottoms of trading ranges on a regular basis, and although they may get lucky occasionally, there will be plenty of other times when they’ve entered a position too early or too late.

It’s important to note that a currency pair, or indeed any financial instrument can remain overbought or oversold for a very long time, and may become even more so. Just because certain technical indicators signal a probable high or low has been reached, does not necessarily mean that this is the case.

For example, there may be several indicators such as RSI, CCI and stochastics, for instance, indicating that the GBP/USD pair is currently overbought and therefore ripe for shorting, but there’s still no reason why it couldn’t go 200 points higher into even more overbought territory.

Furthermore this is the case whether you’re trading short term or long term. Yes it’s true that forex pairs do conform fairly well to technical analysis, but there are always exceptions (otherwise we would all be millionaires).

The problem with this method of trading is that you are always fighting the trend, which is why I personally prefer to use methods that follow the overall trend.

However, if you do want to trade overbought and oversold positions, you can still go with the trend to some extent by waiting for a solid confirmation that a reversal is taking place.

This will mean that you don’t catch all of a move but you will have added confidence in your trade that a true reversal is about to take place when you do enter a position.

For example you could use crossover indicators like EMAs, MACD and TRIX for confirmation.

Anyway the main point I want to get across is that trying to consistently find highs and lows is a difficult way of trading which is why you’re better off either using a trend-following method or waiting for added confirmation if you do want to trade this way.

James Woolley runs a blog where you can learn forex trading and read his Forex Trading Machine review

Forex Market - An Expression Of Opinion Of Foreign Economies

24 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: WestWing888

Trading currency online is happening literally 24 hours a day, with money exchanging hands almost constantly, to the tune of roughly $2 trillion a day. In comparison to the $20 billion average day of the stock market, the Forex market is without question much larger.

The biggest difference is that on the Forex market there isn’t any tangible material that is being bought or sold. There are also no certificates being issued to show how much an individual owns of another country’s money.

What is Forex Trading

In the Forex market all the trades are performed electronically and the currencies are traded in pairs, such as the US dollar being paired with the UK’s Euro. A trade primarily consists of trading a specific amount of USD/EURO for currency pairs from two other countries contained within one transaction.

There are also no brokerage fees involved for buying and selling on the Forex market with broker earning their money on the difference between the bid/sell/buy price (ie - the spread) of the currency at the time the trade is completed.

On the Forex market, a buyer of any particular currency pair is basically indicating their confidence in the economy of that particular country. If the economy improves after a buy is completed, and the value of their currency also improves corresponding to the value of other countries, the investment of the buyer increases in value as well. On the other side of that coin, if that particular economy falls, the value of the currency will also decrease on the open market.

Precise Projections Can Improve Profit Position

One of the primary keys to success in the fourth market is being capable of projecting what the economy in any one particular country is going to do in the short term. The majority of individuals trading on the Forex market are not in it for the long haul like they might be in the stock market. Many people use little indicators that predict the country’s economy will get better or get worse and will execute their trades accordingly.

Only until recent times the Forex market was open only to just a select few that very often made trades worth many millions of dollars in multiple currencies. With the advent of the internet and online brokers average people have been given the opportunity with only a few hundred dollars to get in on the same type of action as the big spenders. Nevertheless, prior to anybody simply jumping in online and opening an account, they should be well-versed in the economies of the numerous different countries.

To become familiarized with the Forex market can seem somewhat intimidating at first, but in actuality so can the stock market to a beginner. It takes time and practice with play money and experience prior to a person getting involved in becoming comfortable with getting their own cash on a country’s economic future.

Listen to Corbin Newlyn as he shares his insights as an expert author and an avid writer in the field of finance. If you would like to learn more go to Forex advice and at Learn Forex Trading tips.

You Will Never Make Money Trading Stocks, Futures Or Forex Part 2

20 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: DeanWh

If you have no idea what it is you want from trading; then the markets will give you just that, nothing! Over 90% of traders fail to reach any success and a large part of this is because traders refuse to set any sort of goal or objective. Floating aimlessly, they are easy targets for the trap that is the financial markets.

If you asked 100 struggling traders what it is they want from the markets the general answer is ‘I want to make money’. Other than that it’s ‘I don’t really know’. Sometimes you’ll get a more thoughtful answer such as ‘I want to leave my job’ or similar.

It’s not enough to say I want to leave my job and trade full time. What does that mean in terms of money, time, figures and accounting? If you can’t put a figure on what it is you want, either in time or money, then every trade you undertake means absolutely nothing.

One of the reasons traders don’t set goals is because trading is difficult to measure if you don’t understand how successful traders make money. For example, many very rich traders make most of their money from a very small percentage of their trades, and will have more losing trades on average than winners.

Think about it from this point of view. If I have 99 losing trades of $10, and one winning trade of $2000, I am $1010 in front; which is way in front. Trading is all about probabilities, not about being clever or right.

Once you are able to determine the probability you have of making a dollar and the probability of losing a dollar, you have the ability to determine on average, what you’ll make per trade. Then you can work out how many trades you’ll need to make in a certain period of time to reach a goal.

Can you see how much a waste of time trading is if you don’t have a goal. Without a goal, you have no idea of how many trades you’re supposed to be taking in a month or a year. If you don’t know this, then what does it matter what the next 10, 15, or 50 trades make, or what your average profit per trade is?

Here’s another point: If you place a trade and it makes you $100 or $10000, then so what. What are you going to do with that money? Maybe you think you’ll start with $10,000 and try and get your account up to $20,000, but in what time?, a month, a year, 10 years; and if you did pick a time, why? Why would it be important for you to double your money in a certain amount of time?

Let’s say you did set out to double your money in a year, how many hours per week are you willing to sacrifice to reach this goal, and once again, the question remains, why?

Another reason traders don’t set goals is because their focus is all on the magic entry technique, the magic indicator etc. This is like judging a book by its cover. If you judge the potential of a trading methodology by the way in which it gets you in the markets it does nothing but allow you to feel in control. That is it.

Once you are in the markets, how and why do you get out? You get out because you need to close your position to realize a loss or profit. Without a goal, why would you bother? What drives you to exit a trade if you have absolutely no reason to?

There is nothing wrong with saying you want to trade because you’re plain sick of your job, but give your trading business what it deserves, some specific goals including returns, income, time involved, and have both financial and personal goals, and a plan to get you there.

Dean Whittingham created A Traders Universe - Trading System Development in 2005 as a resource site for traders of all levels, with education, courses, brokers, tips, free videos, newsletters, trading systems, simulations and a free 7 step process for building a profitable stock, futures or forex trading system. His coaching program is at Pentagonal Trading System Development

An Introduction to Commodity Trading

19 March, 2008 | Currency Trading | By: mplummer73

The distinctive characteristic about commodities is that they can be of different types. It is due to this feature that they are traded on different exchanges after being split into different groups. A commodity is something that can be bought or sold unlike shares or the stock trading value of a company or a system of currency trade like the Forex. There are many groups of commodities.

For example:
a. Softs.
Examples of these are sugar, cocoa, cotton, coffee.
b. Grains.
Examples of these are rice, oats, soya beans, wheat etc.
c. Meat.
Examples: pork bellies, lean hogs, cattle and live cattle.
d. Metals.
Examples: Iron, copper, aluminum, etc.

There can be other groups as well, such as energy, financials, even investment institutions.
There are two commonly used terms by traders when talking of commodity trade. These are:
Spot trading: Here, the trade occurs on the spot.
Futures trading: Here, commodity trade is based on the drafting of a contract with an agreed price. This price is the price a specific amount of the commodity will reach at a future date.

There are different terms for measuring different commodities.
For example:
-Gold is measured in Troy Ounces
-Wheat is measured in bushels
-Crude oil is measured in barrels.

Commodity prices undergo price fluctuations and so, both parties are hedging their risks by drafting a contract.

Sellers secure the future prices of their goods by hedging. They do this in order to make sure they get a fair price for them, and to ascertain their costs in advance. To do this, the seller drafts a futures contract with the buyer to which he (the buyer) will be similarly committed. However, there is no obligation for them to continue to hold it up until its expiry date, so it can be sold at any time in the interim period. More than ninety five percent of contracts are terminated before their expiry in this manner. An endless number of contracts can be held for the same commodity for equivalent or different price values.

If neither party wishes to hold onto a contract, it can be offered on the market for closing so that a speculator or a commercial entity can buy or sell it. Almost all contracts are closed this way before they reach their expiry term. Since the amount of commodity trading is always extensive, it has the desired effect of stabilizing prices especially close to the date of expiry of a contract.

Commodities count as extremely lucrative investment opportunities due to their liquidity, high leverage (almost tenfold) and the fact that speculators do not physically have to hold onto them. However, risk management strategies are important for commodity trading as with all trading ventures.

Mark Plummer is a UK based independent Offshore Investment advisor.Has been involved in the financial services and financial planning business since leaving full time education.
If you want to learn more on commodity trading then please visit this Investment Fund